Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Kauno AtletasHOME · -
88 : 542022.11.25 · 종료
Neptunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.8%
VALUE EDGE+71.8%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
Kauno AtletasAnalysis MetricsNeptunas 2
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-13.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.58
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
4.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kauno Atletas
W · 84-77L · 84-73L · 78-76W · 88-75L · 76-67
Neptunas 2
W · 73-69W · 79-90L · 83-71L · 48-84L · 97-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.07 | Kauno Atletas | 74 : 83 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2022.11.25 | Kauno Atletas | 88 : 54 | Neptunas 2 |