Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NKL Lithuania

Vytis VDUHOME · -

85 : 832022.11.23 · 종료

Ukmerges StekasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY22.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +78.0%

VALUE EDGE+78.0%

FAIR ODDS1.28

GRADES

Vytis VDUAnalysis MetricsUkmerges Stekas

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+7.33 Point MarginHigher is better -11.08

185.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.42

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

78.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

22.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Vytis VDU

L · 74-69W · 84-76W · 64-84W · 97-71L · 95-75

Ukmerges Stekas

L · 75-82L · 90-72W · 83-71L · 92-99W · 73-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.02	Ukmerges Stekas	89 : 90	Vytis VDU
2025.12.12	Ukmerges Stekas	88 : 93	Vytis VDU
2025.10.10	Vytis VDU	81 : 66	Ukmerges Stekas
2025.01.10	Vytis VDU	83 : 77	Ukmerges Stekas
2024.10.11	Ukmerges Stekas	88 : 95	Vytis VDU
2022.11.23	Vytis VDU	85 : 83	Ukmerges Stekas