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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Kauno AtletasHOME · -
84 : 772022.11.20 · 종료
MazeikiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.2%
VALUE EDGE+67.2%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEB
Kauno AtletasAnalysis MetricsMazeikiai
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-13.00 Point MarginHigher is better -10.00
171.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation14.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kauno Atletas
L · 84-73L · 78-76W · 88-75L · 76-67L · 73-77
Mazeikiai
W · 84-73W · 79-72L · 85-69W · 86-82L · 89-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.31Kauno Atletas88 : 97Mazeikiai
2023.02.18Kauno Atletas63 : 88Mazeikiai
2023.02.16Mazeikiai67 : 71Kauno Atletas
2022.11.20Kauno Atletas84 : 77Mazeikiai
2022.11.18Mazeikiai84 : 73Kauno Atletas