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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
KretingaHOME · -
81 : 1112022.11.20 · 종료
Suduva-MantingaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.3%
VALUE EDGE+58.3%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
KretingaAnalysis MetricsSuduva-Mantinga
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-8.67 Point MarginHigher is better +13.75
172.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.08
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kretinga
L · 89-63L · 80-103L · 86-82W · 87-84W · 73-86
Suduva-Mantinga
W · 89-63W · 110-74W · 48-84W · 92-99W · 95-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.16Kretinga83 : 88Suduva-Mantinga
2026.01.10Suduva-Mantinga107 : 85Kretinga
2025.10.25Kretinga76 : 92Suduva-Mantinga
2024.11.24Kretinga93 : 78Suduva-Mantinga
2024.11.22Suduva-Mantinga113 : 71Kretinga
2022.11.20Kretinga81 : 111Suduva-Mantinga
2022.11.18Suduva-Mantinga89 : 63Kretinga