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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
TelsiaiHOME · -
74 : 692022.11.19 · 종료
Vytis VDUAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsVytis VDU
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+17.17 Point MarginHigher is better +7.33
163.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.50
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Telsiai
L · 84-76L · 81-76W · 85-69W · 67-71W · 81-79
Vytis VDU
W · 84-76W · 64-84W · 97-71L · 95-75W · 99-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.31Vytis VDU88 : 91Telsiai
2026.02.20Vytis VDU109 : 93Telsiai
2026.01.09Vytis VDU107 : 89Telsiai
2025.10.24Telsiai79 : 93Vytis VDU
2025.02.14Telsiai86 : 89Vytis VDU
2023.02.25Telsiai79 : 66Vytis VDU
2023.01.28Vytis VDU77 : 86Telsiai
2022.11.19Telsiai74 : 69Vytis VDU
2022.11.18Vytis VDU84 : 76Telsiai