Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Palangos KursiaiHOME · -
68 : 802022.11.18 · 종료
Zalgiris Kaunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.9%
VALUE EDGE+66.9%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEB
Palangos KursiaiAnalysis MetricsZalgiris Kaunas 2
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
158.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
191.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation14.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palangos Kursiai
L · 79-72W · 91-77W · 73-78W · 90-86W · 76-77
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 81-76W · 80-103W · 84-67W · 67-77W · 68-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.11.19 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 65 : 55 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2022.11.18 | Palangos Kursiai | 68 : 80 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |