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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
MazeikiaiHOME · -
84 : 732022.11.18 · 종료
Kauno AtletasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.2%
VALUE EDGE+56.2%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
MazeikiaiAnalysis MetricsKauno Atletas
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-10.00 Point MarginHigher is better -13.00
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.17
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mazeikiai
W · 79-72L · 85-69W · 86-82L · 89-62W · 88-77
Kauno Atletas
L · 78-76W · 88-75L · 76-67L · 73-77L · 76-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.31Kauno Atletas88 : 97Mazeikiai
2023.02.18Kauno Atletas63 : 88Mazeikiai
2023.02.16Mazeikiai67 : 71Kauno Atletas
2022.11.20Kauno Atletas84 : 77Mazeikiai
2022.11.18Mazeikiai84 : 73Kauno Atletas