Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
MazeikiaiHOME · -
79 : 722022.11.12 · 종료
Palangos KursiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.3%
VALUE EDGE+50.3%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
MazeikiaiAnalysis MetricsPalangos Kursiai
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.42
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation0.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mazeikiai
L · 85-69W · 86-82L · 89-62W · 88-77L · 86-52
Palangos Kursiai
W · 91-77W · 73-78W · 90-86W · 76-77L · 70-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.14 | Palangos Kursiai | 62 : 90 | Mazeikiai |
| 2022.11.12 | Mazeikiai | 79 : 72 | Palangos Kursiai |