Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
KretingaHOME · -
80 : 1032022.11.11 · 종료
Zalgiris Kaunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.5%
VALUE EDGE+64.5%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
KretingaAnalysis MetricsZalgiris Kaunas 2
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-8.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
172.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
191.00
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kretinga
L · 86-82W · 87-84W · 73-86L · 78-90W · 69-84
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 84-67W · 67-77W · 68-62W · 67-80W · 85-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | Kretinga | 85 : 101 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.02.08 | Kretinga | 64 : 104 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.11.29 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 91 : 86 | Kretinga |
| 2025.01.10 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 87 : 73 | Kretinga |
| 2024.10.11 | Kretinga | 65 : 90 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2023.01.13 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 71 : 75 | Kretinga |
| 2022.11.11 | Kretinga | 80 : 103 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |