Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
TelsiaiHOME · -
85 : 692022.11.11 · 종료
MazeikiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME86.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+86.8%
VALUE EDGE+86.8%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADES
TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsMazeikiai
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+17.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.00
163.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.00
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Telsiai
W · 67-71W · 81-79W · 66-80W · 81-59W · 73-82
Mazeikiai
W · 86-82L · 89-62W · 88-77L · 86-52L · 85-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.09 | Telsiai | 83 : 72 | Mazeikiai |
| 2026.03.06 | Mazeikiai | 74 : 86 | Telsiai |
| 2025.12.12 | Mazeikiai | 75 : 60 | Telsiai |
| 2025.10.10 | Telsiai | 93 : 92 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.03.05 | Telsiai | 83 : 67 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.02.03 | Mazeikiai | 72 : 71 | Telsiai |
| 2023.01.13 | Mazeikiai | 76 : 67 | Telsiai |
| 2022.11.11 | Telsiai | 85 : 69 | Mazeikiai |