Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Neptunas 2HOME · -
48 : 842022.11.09 · 종료
Suduva-MantingaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.2%
VALUE EDGE+67.2%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Neptunas 2Analysis MetricsSuduva-Mantinga
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+13.75
151.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation14.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Neptunas 2
L · 97-71L · 67-77L · 88-77L · 68-84L · 66-73
Suduva-Mantinga
W · 92-99W · 95-75L · 68-62W · 86-52W · 98-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.06 | Neptunas 2 | 75 : 94 | Suduva-Mantinga |
| 2026.05.09 | Suduva-Mantinga | 76 : 68 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.05.08 | Neptunas 2 | 79 : 71 | Suduva-Mantinga |
| 2026.05.02 | Suduva-Mantinga | 67 : 65 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.05.01 | Neptunas 2 | 69 : 75 | Suduva-Mantinga |
| 2026.04.25 | Suduva-Mantinga | 68 : 73 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.02.07 | Suduva-Mantinga | 98 : 60 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.11.29 | Neptunas 2 | 73 : 84 | Suduva-Mantinga |
| 2025.01.04 | Suduva-Mantinga | 99 : 75 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.10.05 | Neptunas 2 | 87 : 81 | Suduva-Mantinga |