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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
92 : 992022.11.06 · 종료
Suduva-MantingaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.0%
VALUE EDGE+64.0%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsSuduva-Mantinga
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-11.08 Point MarginHigher is better +13.75
164.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.08
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.5 / 15
Prediction separation12.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 73-77W · 70-76L · 67-80L · 78-74L · 71-56
Suduva-Mantinga
W · 95-75L · 68-62W · 86-52W · 98-86W · 80-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.01.17Ukmerges Stekas54 : 91Suduva-Mantinga
2025.11.22Suduva-Mantinga88 : 74Ukmerges Stekas
2024.12.07Ukmerges Stekas74 : 86Suduva-Mantinga
2024.11.16Suduva-Mantinga72 : 67Ukmerges Stekas
2023.01.07Suduva-Mantinga72 : 70Ukmerges Stekas
2022.11.06Ukmerges Stekas92 : 99Suduva-Mantinga