Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Vytis VDUHOME · -
97 : 712022.11.05 · 종료
Neptunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME85.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+85.4%
VALUE EDGE+85.4%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEA
Vytis VDUAnalysis MetricsNeptunas 2
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
185.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.58
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vytis VDU
L · 95-75W · 99-83W · 73-70W · 78-80
Neptunas 2
L · 67-77L · 88-77L · 68-84L · 66-73L · 67-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.07 | Vytis VDU | 88 : 84 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.04.18 | Vytis VDU | 83 : 84 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.04.16 | Neptunas 2 | 89 : 83 | Vytis VDU |
| 2026.04.13 | Vytis VDU | 71 : 80 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.02.06 | Neptunas 2 | 88 : 89 | Vytis VDU |
| 2025.11.28 | Vytis VDU | 92 : 70 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.11.30 | Vytis VDU | 87 : 82 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2023.01.07 | Neptunas 2 | 76 : 63 | Vytis VDU |
| 2022.11.05 | Vytis VDU | 97 : 71 | Neptunas 2 |