Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Palangos KursiaiHOME · -
90 : 862022.11.04 · 종료
VilkaviskisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.7%
VALUE EDGE+53.7%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Palangos KursiaiAnalysis MetricsVilkaviskis
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.67
158.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation3.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palangos Kursiai
W · 76-77L · 70-76L · 73-82W · 55-68L · 80-63
Vilkaviskis
L · 66-80W · 78-90W · 95-71W · 66-73L · 89-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.12 | Vilkaviskis | 84 : 102 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2023.02.04 | Palangos Kursiai | 69 : 68 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.01.06 | Vilkaviskis | 70 : 79 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2022.11.04 | Palangos Kursiai | 90 : 86 | Vilkaviskis |