Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Kauno AtletasHOME · -
73 : 772022.11.04 · 종료
Ukmerges StekasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.9%
VALUE EDGE+60.9%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Kauno AtletasAnalysis MetricsUkmerges Stekas
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-13.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.08
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.42
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation9.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kauno Atletas
L · 76-77L · 81-59L · 69-84W · 75-89L · 73-70
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 70-76L · 67-80L · 78-74L · 71-56W · 89-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.06 | Ukmerges Stekas | 81 : 83 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2022.11.04 | Kauno Atletas | 73 : 77 | Ukmerges Stekas |