Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Neptunas 2HOME · -
67 : 772022.11.04 · 종료
Zalgiris Kaunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME19.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY80.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+80.5%
VALUE EDGE+80.5%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Neptunas 2Analysis MetricsZalgiris Kaunas 2
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
151.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
191.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Neptunas 2
L · 88-77L · 68-84L · 66-73L · 67-91L · 92-59
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 68-62W · 67-80W · 85-73W · 89-85W · 81-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.08 | Neptunas 2 | 89 : 71 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.04.04 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 75 : 79 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.04.02 | Neptunas 2 | 93 : 103 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.03.28 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 72 : 78 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.01.21 | Neptunas 2 | 80 : 79 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.10.18 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 87 : 75 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.01.22 | Neptunas 2 | 80 : 91 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2024.10.26 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 84 : 73 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2023.01.06 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 78 : 58 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2022.11.04 | Neptunas 2 | 67 : 77 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |