Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NKL Lithuania

TelsiaiHOME · -

81 : 792022.11.04 · 종료

Delikatesas JoniskisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY18.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +81.5%

VALUE EDGE+81.5%

FAIR ODDS1.23

GRADEA

TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsDelikatesas Joniskis

91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+17.17 Point MarginHigher is better -6.00

163.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.83

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

81.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

18.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Telsiai

W · 66-80W · 81-59W · 73-82W · 78-74W · 67-91

Delikatesas Joniskis

L · 73-86L · 113-81L · 98-86W · 65-89L · 76-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.12.14	Delikatesas Joniskis	82 : 108	Telsiai
2024.10.19	Telsiai	107 : 94	Delikatesas Joniskis
2023.01.06	Delikatesas Joniskis	68 : 66	Telsiai
2022.11.04	Telsiai	81 : 79	Delikatesas Joniskis