Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NKL Lithuania

MazeikiaiHOME · -

88 : 772022.10.29 · 종료

Neptunas 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY24.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +75.1%

VALUE EDGE+75.1%

FAIR ODDS1.33

GRADEA

MazeikiaiAnalysis MetricsNeptunas 2

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-10.00 Point MarginHigher is better +2.42

169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.58

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

75.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

24.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mazeikiai

L · 86-52L · 85-73L · 65-89L · 83-76W · 75-65

Neptunas 2

L · 68-84L · 66-73L · 67-91L · 92-59L · 87-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.17	Mazeikiai	77 : 90	Neptunas 2
2026.01.09	Neptunas 2	73 : 66	Mazeikiai
2025.10.24	Mazeikiai	92 : 61	Neptunas 2
2023.01.11	Neptunas 2	86 : 84	Mazeikiai
2022.10.29	Mazeikiai	88 : 77	Neptunas 2