Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
KretingaHOME · -
78 : 902022.10.28 · 종료
VilkaviskisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
KretingaAnalysis MetricsVilkaviskis
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-8.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.67
172.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.17
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.0 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kretinga
W · 69-84L · 55-68W · 85-97W · 92-59
Vilkaviskis
W · 95-71W · 66-73L · 89-85W · 83-76L · 88-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.03 | Vilkaviskis | 84 : 65 | Kretinga |
| 2026.01.24 | Kretinga | 83 : 77 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.11.08 | Vilkaviskis | 83 : 94 | Kretinga |
| 2025.01.25 | Vilkaviskis | 89 : 87 | Kretinga |
| 2024.10.04 | Kretinga | 93 : 85 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.02.18 | Kretinga | 91 : 73 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.02.16 | Vilkaviskis | 93 : 61 | Kretinga |
| 2022.12.09 | Vilkaviskis | 56 : 86 | Kretinga |
| 2022.10.28 | Kretinga | 78 : 90 | Vilkaviskis |