Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
67 : 802022.10.22 · 종료
Zalgiris Kaunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.5%
VALUE EDGE+52.5%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsZalgiris Kaunas 2
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-11.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
164.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
191.00
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation2.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
L · 78-74L · 71-56W · 89-72L · 75-65W · 59-62
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 85-73W · 89-85W · 81-64W · 69-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.09 | Ukmerges Stekas | 108 : 87 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.01.03 | Ukmerges Stekas | 64 : 71 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.10.31 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 116 : 84 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2025.01.25 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 82 : 75 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2024.10.04 | Ukmerges Stekas | 81 : 71 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2022.12.18 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 74 : 68 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2022.10.22 | Ukmerges Stekas | 67 : 80 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |