Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Kauno AtletasHOME · -
69 : 842022.10.22 · 종료
KretingaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Kauno AtletasAnalysis MetricsKretinga
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-13.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.67
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.67
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kauno Atletas
W · 75-89L · 73-70L · 64-74
Kretinga
L · 55-68W · 85-97W · 92-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.17 | Kauno Atletas | 72 : 84 | Kretinga |
| 2022.12.17 | Kretinga | 77 : 78 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2022.10.22 | Kauno Atletas | 69 : 84 | Kretinga |