Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Palangos KursiaiHOME · -
73 : 822022.10.22 · 종료
TelsiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.4%
VALUE EDGE+54.4%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Palangos KursiaiAnalysis MetricsTelsiai
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+17.17
158.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palangos Kursiai
W · 55-68L · 80-63L · 78-80L · 104-78W · 87-56
Telsiai
W · 78-74W · 67-91W · 77-65W · 102-66L · 80-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.12.17 | Telsiai | 86 : 72 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2022.10.22 | Palangos Kursiai | 73 : 82 | Telsiai |