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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Rytas 2HOME · -
75 : 892022.10.21 · 종료
Kauno AtletasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Rytas 2Analysis MetricsKauno Atletas
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-9.00 Point MarginHigher is better -13.00
163.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.17
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rytas 2
L · 85-97L · 89-72W · 104-78L · 102-66
Kauno Atletas
L · 73-70L · 64-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.21Kauno Atletas95 : 83Rytas 2
2022.10.21Rytas 275 : 89Kauno Atletas