Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
TelsiaiHOME · -
78 : 742022.10.21 · 종료
Ukmerges StekasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.6%
VALUE EDGE+81.6%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADES
TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsUkmerges Stekas
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+17.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.08
163.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.42
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Telsiai
W · 67-91W · 77-65W · 102-66L · 80-69L · 63-68
Ukmerges Stekas
L · 71-56W · 89-72L · 75-65W · 59-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.23 | Telsiai | 104 : 70 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2025.11.07 | Telsiai | 85 : 81 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2024.12.20 | Telsiai | 68 : 62 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2022.12.16 | Ukmerges Stekas | 80 : 83 | Telsiai |
| 2022.10.21 | Telsiai | 78 : 74 | Ukmerges Stekas |