Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Neptunas 2HOME · -
67 : 912022.10.15 · 종료
TelsiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.4%
VALUE EDGE+58.4%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Neptunas 2Analysis MetricsTelsiai
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+17.17
151.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation7.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Neptunas 2
L · 92-59L · 87-56
Telsiai
W · 77-65W · 102-66L · 80-69L · 63-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.16 | Neptunas 2 | 72 : 85 | Telsiai |
| 2026.03.26 | Telsiai | 66 : 93 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.03.24 | Neptunas 2 | 78 : 53 | Telsiai |
| 2026.03.21 | Telsiai | 67 : 61 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.01.10 | Telsiai | 65 : 87 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.10.28 | Neptunas 2 | 62 : 81 | Telsiai |
| 2024.12.13 | Telsiai | 88 : 68 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.10.18 | Neptunas 2 | 64 : 73 | Telsiai |
| 2022.12.03 | Telsiai | 86 : 71 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2022.10.15 | Neptunas 2 | 67 : 91 | Telsiai |