Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Zalgiris Kaunas 2HOME · -
89 : 852022.10.15 · 종료
VilkaviskisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Analysis MetricsVilkaviskis
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.67
191.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 81-64W · 69-72
Vilkaviskis
W · 83-76L · 88-86L · 59-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.02 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 107 : 104 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2026.03.14 | Vilkaviskis | 92 : 81 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.12.13 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 71 : 70 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.10.11 | Vilkaviskis | 76 : 64 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.04.09 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 81 : 84 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.04.07 | Vilkaviskis | 69 : 78 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.04.03 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 89 : 85 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.04.01 | Vilkaviskis | 80 : 72 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.03.29 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 66 : 89 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.02.19 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 92 : 83 | Vilkaviskis |