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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Palangos KursiaiHOME · -
78 : 802022.10.14 · 종료
Vytis VDUAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEB
Palangos KursiaiAnalysis MetricsVytis VDU
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-0.92 Point MarginHigher is better +7.33
158.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.50
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palangos Kursiai
L · 104-78W · 87-56
Vytis VDU
Collecting Data

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.22Vytis VDU101 : 95Palangos Kursiai
2023.03.19Palangos Kursiai64 : 78Vytis VDU
2023.03.16Vytis VDU91 : 74Palangos Kursiai
2022.12.02Vytis VDU93 : 76Palangos Kursiai
2022.10.14Palangos Kursiai78 : 80Vytis VDU