Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania · Moteru Lyga Women - Final
Klaipedos Neptunas WHOME · -
51 : 582022.04.12 · 종료
Kibirkstis Vilnius WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.3%
VALUE EDGE+65.3%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
Klaipedos Neptunas WAnalysis MetricsKibirkstis Vilnius W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-0.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+21.92
150.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation13.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Klaipedos Neptunas W
L · 78-60W · 53-65L · 64-68W · 57-70L · 64-57
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
W · 78-60W · 52-95W · 90-59L · 62-68W · 64-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.08 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 102 : 76 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.04.16 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 75 : 58 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.04.12 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 51 : 58 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W |
| 2022.04.08 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 78 : 60 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.03.26 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 64 : 57 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.03.01 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 64 : 80 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W |
| 2021.12.04 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 70 : 67 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |