Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania · Moteru Lyga Women - 3rd place

Aistes LSU Kaunas WHOME · -
79 : 752022.04.10 · 종료
Siauliai WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.3%
VALUE EDGE+67.3%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Aistes LSU Kaunas WAnalysis MetricsSiauliai W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-2.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.00
133.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.67
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation14.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aistes LSU Kaunas W
L · 53-65W · 64-68L · 57-70L · 57-63L · 75-72
Siauliai W
L · 52-95L · 90-59W · 70-60L · 61-72L · 53-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.04.14 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 87 : 66 | Siauliai W |
| 2022.04.11 | Siauliai W | 59 : 79 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |
| 2022.04.10 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 79 : 75 | Siauliai W |
| 2022.02.22 | Siauliai W | 56 : 82 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |
| 2021.10.20 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 93 : 91 | Siauliai W |