Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Moteru Lyga W Lithuania · Moteru Lyga Women - 3rd place

Aistes LSU Kaunas WHOME · -

79 : 752022.04.10 · 종료

Siauliai WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY32.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +67.3%

VALUE EDGE+67.3%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADEA

Aistes LSU Kaunas WAnalysis MetricsSiauliai W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-2.17 Point MarginHigher is better +5.00

133.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.67

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.2 / 15

Prediction separation14.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

67.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

32.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Aistes LSU Kaunas W

L · 53-65W · 64-68L · 57-70L · 57-63L · 75-72

Siauliai W

L · 52-95L · 90-59W · 70-60L · 61-72L · 53-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.04.14	Aistes LSU Kaunas W	87 : 66	Siauliai W
2022.04.11	Siauliai W	59 : 79	Aistes LSU Kaunas W
2022.04.10	Aistes LSU Kaunas W	79 : 75	Siauliai W
2022.02.22	Siauliai W	56 : 82	Aistes LSU Kaunas W
2021.10.20	Aistes LSU Kaunas W	93 : 91	Siauliai W