Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania · Moteru Lyga Women - Final
Kibirkstis Vilnius WHOME · -
78 : 602022.04.08 · 종료
Klaipedos Neptunas WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.7%
VALUE EDGE+62.7%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADES
Kibirkstis Vilnius WAnalysis MetricsKlaipedos Neptunas W
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+21.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.33
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.00
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation10.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
W · 52-95W · 90-59L · 62-68W · 64-57W · 27-76
Klaipedos Neptunas W
W · 53-65L · 64-68W · 57-70L · 64-57W · 57-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.08 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 102 : 76 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.04.16 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 75 : 58 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.04.12 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 51 : 58 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W |
| 2022.04.08 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 78 : 60 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.03.26 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 64 : 57 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.03.01 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 64 : 80 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W |
| 2021.12.04 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 70 : 67 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |