Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania · Moteru Lyga Women - Semi-finals
Aistes LSU Kaunas WHOME · -
53 : 652022.04.06 · 종료
Klaipedos Neptunas WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.7%
VALUE EDGE+67.7%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
Aistes LSU Kaunas WAnalysis MetricsKlaipedos Neptunas W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.33
136.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.00
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
2.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aistes LSU Kaunas W
W · 64-68L · 57-70L · 57-63L · 75-72W · 74-45
Klaipedos Neptunas W
L · 64-68W · 57-70L · 64-57W · 57-63W · 75-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.25 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 76 : 65 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |
| 2022.04.06 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 53 : 65 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.04.03 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 64 : 68 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |
| 2022.03.31 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 57 : 70 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.03.23 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 57 : 63 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.03.19 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 75 : 72 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |
| 2022.02.26 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 79 : 80 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.01.19 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 72 : 75 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |