Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania · Moteru Lyga Women - Semi-finals
Siauliai WHOME · -
52 : 952022.04.03 · 종료
Kibirkstis Vilnius WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME16.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+84.0%
VALUE EDGE+84.0%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEB
Siauliai WAnalysis MetricsKibirkstis Vilnius W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+21.92
158.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Siauliai W
L · 90-59W · 70-60L · 61-72L · 53-85W · 81-79
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
W · 90-59L · 62-68W · 64-57W · 27-76W · 64-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.04 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 90 : 71 | Siauliai W |
| 2022.04.03 | Siauliai W | 52 : 95 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W |
| 2022.04.01 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 90 : 59 | Siauliai W |
| 2021.12.23 | Siauliai W | 61 : 85 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W |
| 2021.11.20 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 93 : 59 | Siauliai W |