Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania · Moteru Lyga Women - Semi-finals
Klaipedos Neptunas WHOME · -
64 : 682022.04.03 · 종료
Aistes LSU Kaunas WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.6%
VALUE EDGE+72.6%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Klaipedos Neptunas WAnalysis MetricsAistes LSU Kaunas W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.17
150.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
135.50
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Klaipedos Neptunas W
W · 57-70L · 64-57W · 57-63W · 75-72W · 65-67
Aistes LSU Kaunas W
L · 57-70L · 57-63L · 75-72W · 74-45W · 68-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.25 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 76 : 65 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |
| 2022.04.06 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 53 : 65 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.04.03 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 64 : 68 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |
| 2022.03.31 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 57 : 70 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.03.23 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 57 : 63 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.03.19 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 75 : 72 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |
| 2022.02.26 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 79 : 80 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.01.19 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 72 : 75 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |