Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania · Moteru Lyga Women - Semi-finals
Kibirkstis Vilnius WHOME · -
90 : 592022.04.01 · 종료
Siauliai WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.7%
VALUE EDGE+76.7%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
Kibirkstis Vilnius WAnalysis MetricsSiauliai W
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+21.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.08
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
L · 62-68W · 64-57W · 27-76W · 64-80L · 62-73
Siauliai W
W · 70-60L · 61-72L · 53-85W · 81-79L · 56-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.04 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 90 : 71 | Siauliai W |
| 2022.04.03 | Siauliai W | 52 : 95 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W |
| 2022.04.01 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 90 : 59 | Siauliai W |
| 2021.12.23 | Siauliai W | 61 : 85 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W |
| 2021.11.20 | Kibirkstis Vilnius W | 93 : 59 | Siauliai W |