Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania
Siauliai WHOME · -
70 : 602022.03.19 · 종료
Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.9%
VALUE EDGE+77.9%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
Siauliai WAnalysis MetricsKibirkstis Vilnius 2 W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-21.75
158.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
130.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
10.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
12.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Siauliai W
L · 61-72L · 53-85W · 81-79L · 56-82L · 70-61
Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 W
L · 74-45L · 27-76L · 85-61L · 97-51L · 80-39
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.03.19 | Siauliai W | 70 : 60 | Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 W |
| 2021.10.22 | Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 W | 59 : 77 | Siauliai W |
| 2021.10.16 | Siauliai W | 90 : 69 | Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 W |