Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania
Aistes LSU Kaunas WHOME · -
74 : 452022.03.07 · 종료
Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME85.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+85.9%
VALUE EDGE+85.9%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
Aistes LSU Kaunas WAnalysis MetricsKibirkstis Vilnius 2 W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-20.17
136.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
131.50
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aistes LSU Kaunas W
W · 68-63W · 64-74L · 79-80W · 56-82W · 41-97
Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 W
L · 27-76L · 85-61L · 97-51L · 80-39L · 47-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.03.07 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 74 : 45 | Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 W |
| 2021.11.12 | Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 W | 52 : 73 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W |
| 2021.10.27 | Aistes LSU Kaunas W | 78 : 65 | Kibirkstis Vilnius 2 W |