Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Moteru Lyga W
Lithuania
Klaipedos Neptunas WHOME · -
00:002023.10.11 · POST
Siauliai WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · PRE-MATCH MODEL
HOME83.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+83.2%
VALUE EDGE+83.2%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEB
Klaipedos Neptunas WAnalysis MetricsSiauliai W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-0.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
150.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.08
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Klaipedos Neptunas W
L · 75-58L · 51-58L · 78-60W · 53-65L · 64-68
Siauliai W
W · 66-80L · 87-66L · 59-79L · 79-75L · 52-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Siauliai W | 94 : 85 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2022.02.06 | Siauliai W | 54 : 103 | Klaipedos Neptunas W |
| 2021.11.10 | Klaipedos Neptunas W | 95 : 92 | Siauliai W |