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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Moteru Lyga W Lithuania
Panevezys WHOME · -
66 : 802023.09.30 · 종료
Siauliai WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW46 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 55/100
AI PICK HOME 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.8%
VALUE EDGE+56.8%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADED
Panevezys WAnalysis MetricsSiauliai W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+0.00 Point MarginHigher is better +3.50
0.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.33
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

46/100 LOW
Data coverage11.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form7.5 / 10
Historical sample5.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation5.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence2.7 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Panevezys W
Collecting Data
Siauliai W
L · 87-66L · 59-79L · 79-75L · 52-95L · 90-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.09.30Panevezys W66 : 80Siauliai W