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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division 1 Lebanon · Division 1 - Final
Sagesse BeirutHOME · -
85 : 842024.05.16 · 종료
Al-RiyadiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +50.9%
VALUE EDGE+50.9%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
Sagesse BeirutAnalysis MetricsAl-Riyadi
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+4.25 Point MarginHigher is better +9.50
174.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation0.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
50.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sagesse Beirut
L · 104-58W · 80-76W · 90-107L · 101-105W · 92-97
Al-Riyadi
W · 104-58W · 98-90W · 100-78W · 86-102L · 95-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.05Al-Riyadi75 : 67Sagesse Beirut
2026.08.04Al-Riyadi100 : 79Sagesse Beirut
2026.08.02Sagesse Beirut96 : 65Al-Riyadi
2026.07.31Al-Riyadi99 : 86Sagesse Beirut
2026.07.29Sagesse Beirut90 : 78Al-Riyadi
2026.07.27Al-Riyadi87 : 85Sagesse Beirut
2026.07.25Sagesse Beirut101 : 96Al-Riyadi
2026.07.23Al-Riyadi92 : 89Sagesse Beirut
2026.05.31Sagesse Beirut86 : 94Al-Riyadi
2025.07.12Al-Riyadi92 : 77Sagesse Beirut