Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division 1
Lebanon · Division 1 - Final
Al-RiyadiHOME · -
104 : 582024.05.15 · 종료
Sagesse BeirutAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.1%
VALUE EDGE+68.1%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Al-RiyadiAnalysis MetricsSagesse Beirut
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.25
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.75
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Al-Riyadi
W · 98-90W · 100-78W · 86-102L · 95-85W · 107-88
Sagesse Beirut
W · 80-76W · 90-107L · 101-105W · 92-97W · 116-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.05 | Al-Riyadi | 75 : 67 | Sagesse Beirut |
| 2026.08.04 | Al-Riyadi | 100 : 79 | Sagesse Beirut |
| 2026.08.02 | Sagesse Beirut | 96 : 65 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2026.07.31 | Al-Riyadi | 99 : 86 | Sagesse Beirut |
| 2026.07.29 | Sagesse Beirut | 90 : 78 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2026.07.27 | Al-Riyadi | 87 : 85 | Sagesse Beirut |
| 2026.07.25 | Sagesse Beirut | 101 : 96 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2026.07.23 | Al-Riyadi | 92 : 89 | Sagesse Beirut |
| 2026.05.31 | Sagesse Beirut | 86 : 94 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2025.07.12 | Al-Riyadi | 92 : 77 | Sagesse Beirut |