Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division 1
Lebanon · Division 1 - Semi-finals
Al-RiyadiHOME · -
107 : 882024.04.28 · 종료
Homenetmen BeirutAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.2%
VALUE EDGE+67.2%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Al-RiyadiAnalysis MetricsHomenetmen Beirut
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.17
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
181.50
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation14.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Al-Riyadi
W · 95-60W · 86-65W · 73-103W · 87-69W · 113-99
Homenetmen Beirut
W · 84-75W · 85-93W · 84-94W · 103-89W · 81-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.12.24 | Al-Riyadi | 118 : 97 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2025.06.26 | Al-Riyadi | 104 : 72 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2025.06.24 | Homenetmen Beirut | 91 : 111 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2025.06.22 | Al-Riyadi | 104 : 101 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2025.06.03 | Al-Riyadi | 110 : 86 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2025.04.01 | Homenetmen Beirut | 69 : 96 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2024.05.12 | Al-Riyadi | 98 : 90 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2024.05.05 | Homenetmen Beirut | 86 : 102 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2024.04.28 | Al-Riyadi | 107 : 88 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2024.03.07 | Homenetmen Beirut | 81 : 108 | Al-Riyadi |