Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division 1
Lebanon · Division 1 - Quarter-finals
Homenetmen BeirutHOME · -
84 : 752024.04.13 · 종료
ChampvilleAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Homenetmen BeirutAnalysis MetricsChampville
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
0.0%
-12.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-21.75
181.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
183.58
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Homenetmen Beirut
W · 85-93W · 84-94W · 103-89W · 81-84L · 81-108
Champville
L · 85-93W · 89-86W · 76-81W · 64-69L · 89-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.06 | Homenetmen Beirut | 105 : 97 | Champville |
| 2025.12.11 | Champville | 116 : 89 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2025.06.01 | Homenetmen Beirut | 96 : 112 | Champville |
| 2025.03.28 | Champville | 86 : 100 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2024.04.13 | Homenetmen Beirut | 84 : 75 | Champville |
| 2024.04.07 | Champville | 85 : 93 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2024.01.04 | Homenetmen Beirut | 84 : 88 | Champville |
| 2023.10.27 | Champville | 98 : 90 | Homenetmen Beirut |