Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division 1
Lebanon
Homenetmen BeirutHOME · -
81 : 1082024.03.07 · 종료
Al-RiyadiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.9%
VALUE EDGE+70.9%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADES
Homenetmen BeirutAnalysis MetricsAl-Riyadi
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-12.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.50
181.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.00
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Homenetmen Beirut
W · 96-86W · 83-85W · 97-80W · 49-86L · 84-88
Al-Riyadi
W · 89-83W · 120-90W · 57-100W · 79-53W · 106-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.12.24 | Al-Riyadi | 118 : 97 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2025.06.26 | Al-Riyadi | 104 : 72 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2025.06.24 | Homenetmen Beirut | 91 : 111 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2025.06.22 | Al-Riyadi | 104 : 101 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2025.06.03 | Al-Riyadi | 110 : 86 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2025.04.01 | Homenetmen Beirut | 69 : 96 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2024.05.12 | Al-Riyadi | 98 : 90 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2024.05.05 | Homenetmen Beirut | 86 : 102 | Al-Riyadi |
| 2024.04.28 | Al-Riyadi | 107 : 88 | Homenetmen Beirut |
| 2024.03.07 | Homenetmen Beirut | 81 : 108 | Al-Riyadi |