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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division 1 Lebanon
Sagesse BeirutHOME · -
85 : 792023.11.09 · 종료
Homenetmen BeirutAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 72.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.2%
VALUE EDGE+74.2%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADES
Sagesse BeirutAnalysis MetricsHomenetmen Beirut
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+4.92 Point MarginHigher is better -12.17
175.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 181.50
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
3.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sagesse Beirut
W · 51-59W · 84-60
Homenetmen Beirut
W · 92-79L · 98-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.05Sagesse Beirut76 : 70Homenetmen Beirut
2026.06.14Sagesse Beirut99 : 97Homenetmen Beirut
2026.06.11Homenetmen Beirut60 : 106Sagesse Beirut
2026.06.07Sagesse Beirut118 : 98Homenetmen Beirut
2026.05.28Homenetmen Beirut87 : 89Sagesse Beirut
2025.12.28Sagesse Beirut131 : 120Homenetmen Beirut
2025.05.08Homenetmen Beirut102 : 114Sagesse Beirut
2025.03.15Sagesse Beirut100 : 99Homenetmen Beirut
2024.02.04Homenetmen Beirut97 : 80Sagesse Beirut
2023.11.09Sagesse Beirut85 : 79Homenetmen Beirut