Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - 3rd place
Aktobe WHOME · -
68 : 322023.05.07 · 종료
Aktau WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME87.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+87.1%
VALUE EDGE+87.1%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
Aktobe WAnalysis MetricsAktau W
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-20.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
20.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
102.50
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktobe W
W · 53-67L · 66-44L · 48-63L · 48-46W · 55-62
Aktau W
L · 53-67L · 88-51L · 55-80L · 81-43W · 75-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.11 | Aktau W | 20 : 0 | Aktobe W |
| 2025.03.10 | Aktau W | 20 : 0 | Aktobe W |
| 2025.02.08 | Aktau W | 20 : 0 | Aktobe W |
| 2024.10.10 | Aktobe W | 61 : 59 | Aktau W |
| 2024.10.09 | Aktobe W | 48 : 63 | Aktau W |
| 2024.01.26 | Aktau W | 54 : 85 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.11.25 | Aktau W | 61 : 89 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.11.22 | Aktobe W | 82 : 89 | Aktau W |
| 2023.05.09 | Aktau W | 46 : 68 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.05.07 | Aktobe W | 68 : 32 | Aktau W |