Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - Semi-finals
Turan WHOME · -
81 : 432023.04.17 · 종료
Aktau WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Turan WAnalysis MetricsAktau W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-3.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
125.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
102.50
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Turan W
W · 42-105W · 113-71W · 65-78W · 96-58W · 57-76
Aktau W
W · 75-73W · 57-77L · 51-64L · 96-58L · 58-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.07 | Turan W | 64 : 59 | Aktau W |
| 2025.01.31 | Turan W | 80 : 58 | Aktau W |
| 2025.01.30 | Turan W | 64 : 59 | Aktau W |
| 2024.11.16 | Aktau W | 79 : 55 | Turan W |
| 2024.11.15 | Aktau W | 69 : 56 | Turan W |
| 2024.04.18 | Turan W | 70 : 68 | Aktau W |
| 2024.04.16 | Aktau W | 57 : 70 | Turan W |
| 2024.04.15 | Turan W | 74 : 62 | Aktau W |
| 2024.01.30 | Aktau W | 51 : 86 | Turan W |
| 2024.01.27 | Turan W | 86 : 59 | Aktau W |