Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - Semi-finals
Astana WHOME · -
48 : 462023.04.17 · 종료
Aktobe WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.8%
VALUE EDGE+59.8%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
Astana WAnalysis MetricsAktobe W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
0.0%
+8.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-20.00
125.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
20.00
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation8.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana W
W · 39-59W · 61-40W · 51-64L · 66-74L · 70-48
Aktobe W
W · 55-62L · 54-56W · 62-74W · 57-59W · 59-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.02 | Astana W | 20 : 0 | Aktobe W |
| 2025.03.01 | Astana W | 20 : 0 | Aktobe W |
| 2025.02.07 | Astana W | 20 : 0 | Aktobe W |
| 2024.11.29 | Aktobe W | 27 : 82 | Astana W |
| 2024.11.28 | Aktobe W | 37 : 54 | Astana W |
| 2024.03.12 | Astana W | 53 : 56 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.12.24 | Astana W | 55 : 60 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.10.18 | Astana W | 48 : 71 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.04.20 | Astana W | 66 : 44 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.04.18 | Aktobe W | 48 : 63 | Astana W |