Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - Quarter-finals
Okzhetpes WHOME · -
39 : 592023.04.14 · 종료
Astana WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.2%
VALUE EDGE+58.2%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Okzhetpes WAnalysis MetricsAstana W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.83
119.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
125.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okzhetpes W
L · 61-40W · 31-53L · 59-63W · 76-51W · 67-38
Astana W
W · 61-40W · 51-64L · 66-74L · 70-48W · 77-35
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.08 | Astana W | 67 : 58 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.12.23 | Astana W | 67 : 52 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.12.22 | Astana W | 61 : 47 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.11.16 | Okzhetpes W | 53 : 64 | Astana W |
| 2024.11.15 | Okzhetpes W | 68 : 81 | Astana W |
| 2024.01.26 | Okzhetpes W | 76 : 64 | Astana W |
| 2023.11.25 | Astana W | 53 : 49 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2023.11.21 | Okzhetpes W | 57 : 65 | Astana W |
| 2023.04.14 | Okzhetpes W | 39 : 59 | Astana W |
| 2023.04.13 | Astana W | 61 : 40 | Okzhetpes W |