Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - Quarter-finals
Aktau WHOME · -
75 : 732023.04.14 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Aktau WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.08
102.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
98.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktau W
W · 57-77L · 51-64L · 96-58L · 58-66L · 71-46
Pavlodar W
L · 57-77L · 65-78W · 58-66L · 52-80L · 77-35
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.09 | Aktau W | 63 : 58 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.12.17 | Pavlodar W | 58 : 61 | Aktau W |
| 2024.12.16 | Pavlodar W | 63 : 80 | Aktau W |
| 2024.11.29 | Aktau W | 85 : 63 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.11.28 | Aktau W | 84 : 59 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.03.12 | Pavlodar W | 91 : 99 | Aktau W |
| 2023.12.24 | Pavlodar W | 69 : 81 | Aktau W |
| 2023.10.18 | Pavlodar W | 49 : 78 | Aktau W |
| 2023.04.14 | Aktau W | 75 : 73 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.04.13 | Pavlodar W | 57 : 77 | Aktau W |